Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) Cheat Sheet

Track: Turfway Park

Purse: $200,000

Distance: 1 1/8 miles on the all weather track – a turf win is good sign when switching to synthetic

Points: 20-8-4-2 to top 4 finishers

At Turfway Park since November: Front runners (never farther back than 2nd or 1 length off lead) have won 65.2% of the time, stalkers 19.5%, mid-pack runners 9.6%, and deep closers 5.4%.  Favorites have won 36.9% of the time and have been in the money 71.8%.

Somelikeithotbrown and Skywire look like the two to beat.  I feel like even though he has less experience, Skywire might be able to step up and win this race.  I’m expecting Five Star General to improve after his last race and he should do well with the surface switch, so expect him to be a factor and be up there with Somelikeithotbrown and Skywire in the end.

1 – Dynamic Racer (15/1)

  • Pedigree: Run Away and Hide – Biogio’s Gift by Any Given Saturday
  • Trainer: Ronald Kahles / Jockey: Euclyn Prentice, Jr.
  • Running style: pacesetter
  • Race Record: 6 starts: 2 wins – 2 place – 2 show
  • Runner up in John Battaglia Memorial – local prep for this race
    • Good effort – led until mid-stretch before losing by 3 ½ length
  • Might be able to set soft fractions if he gets easy lead, then could be capable of hitting the board

2 – Moonster (20/1)

  • Malibu Moon – Mema by Unbridled’s Song
  • Dale Romans / John McKee
  • Mid-pack runner
  • 7:1-0-1
  • Has no turf or synthetic starts and hasn’t been competitive in 3 dirt stakes starts
    • 8th in Sam F. Davis (G3) and 10th in Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – might not be up to this level

3 – Five Star General (6/1)

  • Distorted Humor – Party of Interest by Bernardini
    • WinStar homebred
  • Arnauld Delacour / Declan Cannon
  • Pacesetter/press the pace
  • 4:2-0-0
  • Lacks synthetic or turf starts, but two wins came in off-the-turf events at Laurel and Aqueduct
  • Led all the way in Central Park victory at Aqueduct before a 6th in the Sam F. Davis (G3)
    • His works have improved since that race
  • Expect better performance than Sam F. Davis, so capable of being a factor and hitting the board

4 – Dabo (10/1)

  • Temple City – Sullied But Sweet by Conveyor
  • Dale Romans / Luan Machado
  • Closer
  • 4:1-0-1
  • Closed well to be 3rd in John Battaglia Memorial after making wide move
  • Ran dull 5th in Gulfstream turf event before that
  • Has a win over synthetic with career debut at Arlington in maiden sprint

5 – Baytown Jimbo (20/1)

  • Artie Schiller – Whispered (GB) by Medicean (GB)
  • Paul McEntee / Alexis Achard
  • Closer
  • 8:1-1-1
  • Has synthetic experience, but faced extremely slow fractions in past two losses at Woodbine
    • Being a closer that hurt his chances
  • If fast pace early this colt could pick up the pieces
  • Has some promising works recently

6 – Skywire (3/1)

  • Afleet Alex – Meandering Stream by Gone West
  • Mark Casse / Gary Boulanger
  • Stalker
  • 2:2-0-0
    • Undefeated
  • Won by 6 lengths in off-the-turf Gulfstream optional claimer last time after hitting gate at start
    • Gulfstream shippers won every year from 2010-2015
  • Has synthetic experience with debut win in Woodbine sprint 3 months ago
  • Big win contender

7 – Counter Offer (10/1)

  • Tapizar – Donate by City Zip
  • Ian Wilkes / Malcolm Franklin
  • Mid-pack runner
  • 7:1-1-0
  • 4th in Sam F. Davis (G3) by 13 lengths
  • Lone win by neck margin came over soft Churchill turf course
  • Overall seems too slow against this level

8 – Twelfthofneverland (12/1)

  • Istan – Deep in December by The Daddy
  • Raymond Handal / Sheldon Russell
  • Stalker
  • 7:2-1-0
  • Has two off-the-board finishes on turf
  • Lost by nose at Aqueduct on dirt in last start, but in a starter optional claimer
  • Big jump in class and I don’t think he’s up to the same level

9 – Curlin Grey (10/1)

  • Curlin – Surf Light by Malibu Moon
  • Ken McPeek / Brian Hernandez, Jr.
  • Closer
  • 7:1-1-1
  • 3rd behind talented Global Campaign in Gulfstream optional claimer
    • Awesome D J (4th) off the board in next start – questions quality of other horses
  • Dropped to maiden claimer two starts ago – red flag
  • Lacks synthetic experience and had dull effort on turf in career debut

10 – Somelikeithotbrown (8/5)

  • Big Brown – Marilyn Monroan by Tapit
  • Mike Maker / Tyler Gaffalione
    • Maker going for 3rd win in past 4 years and 5th overall
  • Pacesetter/press the pace
  • 6:2-2-1
  • 4 length winner of John Battaglia Memorial
  • 3rd by ¾ of length in BC Juvenile Turf and 2nd in Pilgrim S. (G3) at Belmont and With Anticipation S. (G3) at Saratoga – shows his class level
  • Tyler Gaffalione giving up mounts at Gulfstream to ride him – good sign
  • Big win contender

11 – Speed App (30/1)

  • Flatter – Skipstone by Montbrook
  • Wayne Lukas / Walter De La Cruz
  • Closer
  • 7:0-1-1
  • Has never won, but finished distant second at Oaklawn Park last time out
  • Looks in over his head and highly doubt he will improve enough to win a graded stake
    • Could improve with change to synthetic, but don’t think it will be enough